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Federal Budget 2025

November 4, 2025

Today, Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne presented the government’s first budget under Prime Minister Carney. Titled "Canada Strong”, which was the Liberal Party’s central campaign slogan, the budget marks a new approach that shifts the federal budget cycle from spring to fall. In the 568 days since the last budget, the economy, Parliament, and the broader world have all changed, each shaping the context in which this new fiscal and budgetary plan is presented. The budget documents are more than 493 pages — a more fulsome and comprehensive detail of policy programs, fiscal and economic indicators, and debt management objectives than has been seen in some time, giving weight to the political moment the country faces in a challenging geopolitical context. The budget’s annexes include detailed expenditure reviews broken down by departments and agencies, various tax measures, and impact reports, which assess how various fiscal and policy programs will affect Canada’s demographics, which is a different approach from previous budgets. 

Despite warnings of significant cuts to cultural funding in Canada, Budget 2025 makes modest investments in specific programs within the Department of Canadian Heritage and Canada Council for the Arts. The investments made were largely related to programs which had top-ups that were to sunset at the end of the current fiscal year.

While the Department of Canadian Heritage is expected to receive reductions as part of the Comprehensive Expenditure Review, the Canada Council is not. 

Key Items of Relevance to Arts and Culture

Comprehensive Expenditure Review

The Government has given indication of its planned reductions in spending through the Comprehensive Expenditure Review. In total, the Review will achieve savings of $9 billion in 2026-27, $10 billion in 2027-28, and $13 billion in 2028-29.

While some departments will not face the full reduction, the Department of Canadian Heritage will work towards up to 15% of savings over the coming three fiscal years. The Budget lists the following steps that the Department will take to achieve this end: 

The total reduction for the Department of Canadian Heritage will be the following:

Year

2026-27

2027-28

2028-29

2028-29

Ongoing

Modernizing Government Operations

3.7 M

7.2 M

17.2 M

17.2 M

17.2 M

Recalibrating Government Programs

31.0 M

42.0 M

75.9 M

75.9 M

75.9 M

The Canada Council for the Arts is not part of the planned reductions in Budget 2025 and no cuts to programs related to official languages were mentioned as part of the Comprehensive Expenditure Review.

There is no mention of significant movement on or reform related to the social safety net.

There is no mention of a live performance tax credit scheme, or similar.

Other relevant investments

Cultural Infrastructure

 Employment Insurance and Social Safety Net

Student and youth programs

Trade and export

Tourism 

Tax reform 

Competition

Overall Budget at a Glance

The budget is based on core themes from Carney’s pre-budget address: economic resilience, fiscal discipline, empowering Canadians, building national capacity, and creating a leaner, more efficient government. It positions Canada as moving into a new industrial phase driven by global competition and U.S. protectionism, focusing on “Buy Canada” procurement, domestic supply chains, and export diversification. The government combines these ambitions with a promise to protect key social programs and eliminate the operating deficit within three years. 

The budget also detailed significant savings from the federal government’s recent Comprehensive Expenditure Review, which aims to control spending by identifying internal efficiencies through three core pillars: modernizing operations, streamlining delivery, and recalibrating programs. It confirmed planned operational cuts across the federal public service through workforce adjustments and attrition, and, for the first time, included immigration levels within the fiscal framework as part of a broader effort to align population growth with the government’s economic and labour goals. Included in the budget is the government’s Climate Competitiveness Strategy, which outlines the Carney government’s approach to harmonizing economic development with climate and environment issues.

Broadly, the strategy looks to focus on how Canada and Canadian businesses can play a larger role in the global transition to a low-carbon economy. While short on details, the strategy marks a departure from the previous Trudeau government’s climate policy, which focused on legislative and regulatory interventions. The Carney government is instead emphasizing the role of industry and private-sector investment, by utilizing various investment tax credits to drive this agenda. The new Carney government approach indicates that the two-remaining market-based emissions reduction mechanisms introduced by the previous Liberal government – the industrial carbon price and the clean fuel regulations – will remain intact for the foreseeable future. 

Attention now turns to the House of Commons, where the government will need a supportive partner or at least a cooperative critic to keep its agenda advancing.

Budget Themes

The budget document sets the stage by providing a detailed economic and fiscal overview, with remaining chapters focused on building one Canadian economy, shifting reliance to resilience, protecting Canada’s sovereignty, and creating a more efficient government, all elements that Prime Minister Carney reinforced both during the election campaign, and in his pre-budget address.  

Legislative Items

The budget contains well over 75 items proposing various legislative changes in areas including competition and environmental laws, the Broadcasting Act, high-speed rail, anti-money laundering, and various other statutes and laws. This will likely serve as an initial preview of what to expect in the forthcoming Budget Implementation Act 

Fiscal Position

The budget’s fiscal outlook is gloomy. The document projects sharply lower GDP growth for the coming years, at 1.1% for 2025 and 1.2% for 2026. This is a drop of almost 50% from 2024 projections. Unemployment is expected to peak at 7.2% in Q4 of this year. This leads to a budget awash in red ink. Though the 2024-25 deficit comes in significantly lower, at $36 billion, compared to the $48 billion projected in 2024, the coming years see no return to budgetary balance on the horizon. The 2025-26 deficit is projected at a staggering $78 billion, and though deficits are projected to fall, this budget forecasts a $56 billion deficit in 2029-30. Canada’s debt-to-GDP radio will reach almost 42% this year before declining to 39% by 2030.  

PAA and PACT are reviewing the budget in detail to assess its impact on our members and identify opportunities for continued advocacy. PACT will be issuing its response to the 2025 Federal Budget in the days ahead. 

Click here to view full the full budget.

Our friends at PAA will go over the budget and answer questions at PACT’s Town Hall on Thursday, November 13, 2025, at 1:00pm ET. Click here to register.

Click here to view PACT's response to the Federal Budget. 


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